Bitcoin rides the AI earnings mood, but the outlets can't agree on why
CoinDesk credits SpaceX and Super Micro for reviving the AI trade, Cointelegraph points to GM and 3M, and Bloomberg calls bitcoin little changed. Spot ETF flows may be the clearer signal.
By Jennifer Walsh · · Updated
For information only, not investment advice. Prices delayed.
Bitcoin ($BTC) spent Wednesday's Asian session riding a tech rebound, and how much it actually moved depends on who you ask. CoinDesk had it modestly higher and tied the move to strong earnings from SpaceX and Super Micro Computer reviving the AI trade. Bloomberg's markets wrap listed bitcoin as "little changed."
The AI rally itself is real. SpaceX posted a $4.4 billion quarterly profit, its first as a public company, as revenue jumped 161% to $14.6 billion, AFP reported. Super Micro said sales for the quarter ended Sept. 30 will come in at $18.5 billion to $19.5 billion, against an average analyst estimate of $15 billion, according to Bloomberg. Super Micro's figures are preliminary, with a results call set for Nov. 3. Bloomberg said the reports helped Asian stocks and U.S. futures as they "revived confidence in the tech trade."
The catch is timing. Cointelegraph put bitcoin's push to its highest level since Oct. 14 in Tuesday's U.S. session and credited earnings beats from General Motors and 3M, not the AI names. Citing CoinGlass, it also counted $125 million in short liquidations in a single hour, meaning traders betting on a drop were forced to buy back in. And per Bloomberg, SpaceX's and Super Micro's big share moves came later, in extended trading.
The cleaner demand signal sits in fund flows. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs took in roughly $527 million on Monday, their biggest net inflow in a month, CoinDesk's Daybook reported. BlackRock's $IBIT took in $665 million on its own, while Fidelity and Grayscale funds saw withdrawals. Ether ETFs lost $103.3 million, a fourth straight day of outflows, which CoinDesk read as bitcoin-specific demand rather than appetite for crypto broadly.
For holders, the near-term signals are mostly coming from outside crypto. Meta and Tesla report Wednesday, which Bloomberg framed as a test of whether AI spending pays off. The Fed meets Oct. 27-28 and is widely expected to hold rates, though prediction markets are pricing a hike for the following month, per CoinDesk. QCP Capital analysts warned that "broader equity deleveraging dynamics could transmit to cryptocurrency markets."
On the longer view, Hashdex told CoinDesk in an email that bitcoin's bear phase had lasted 359 days as of Sept. 30, close to the 361, 377 and 411 days of the previous three since 2011, and that short-term holders, the likeliest sellers on a dip, own just 16% of supply. That's a pattern, not a promise.
Sources
- Bitcoin hovers around $83,000 as AI earnings revive tech, ZEC jumps 11%, CoinDesk
- Stocks Rise With US Futures on AI Trade, Oil Gains: Markets Wrap, Bloomberg (via SWI swissinfo.ch)
- Asian stocks rally as tech firms enjoy bounce ahead of key earnings, AFP
- Super Micro preliminary results top estimates, shares jump 12%, Bloomberg (via The Business Times)
- Equity weakness could damp demand for bitcoin after biggest ETF inflows in a month, CoinDesk (Daybook)
- Bitcoin price spikes to $83.3K as US stocks rise on Q3 earnings, oil falls, Cointelegraph
Tags: bitcoin · crypto-etf · markets-moves · ai · fed